Saturday 12 December 2015

It was as if the Holocene never existed...

Cast your minds back to one of my first ever posts (here's the link if you can't), where I summarised the main proposals for the onset of the Anthropocene - unsurprisingly, one of the hottest debates in the discourse to date. Today I'll be focusing on one key idea: what if the Anthropocene and the Holocene are coeval? In other words, what if the Holocene was replaced entirely by the Anthropocene?

Smith and Zeder (2013) are the main proponents of this argument, though Certini and Scalenghe (2015) have recently moved away from their proposal of an onset with 'Anthropogenic soils' in 2,000 BP (Certini and Scalenghe 2011), and instead towards one which agrees with Smith and Zeder (2013), arguing that the onset of the Holocene should instead be renamed and reconfigured to become the Anthropocene. Certini and Scalenghe (2015) do, however, still believe that anthropogenic soils (e.g. those affected by repetitive ploughing, application of fertilisers, contamination, enrichment etc) could provide an additional auxiliary stratotype to the 5 existing stratotypes recognised for the Pleistocene-Holocene boundary (Walker et al 2009). The basis of the arguments for regarding the Holocene and Anthropocene as coeval are as follows:
  • Origins of agriculture approximately coincide with the onset of the Holocene (11,700 years BP) (Balter 2013; Certini and Scalenghe 2015). 
  • Niche Construction Theory (NCT) - the wide-spread domestication of plants and animals during the early Holocene allowed human societies to significantly modify ecosystems (Smith and Zeder 2013). This is different from other species as humans pass these behaviours on throughout generations through social learning (Smith and Zeder 2013).
  • No new golden spike (GSSP) would be necessary as we could continue to use the Holocene's existing spike in the NGRIP Ice Core (Certini and Scalenghe 2015).
  • Might be more useful to merge the Anthropocene with the Holocene, as there is abundant evidence of human societies developing tools (domesticates) to be used in the subsequent 10,000 years to reshape ecosystems, as opposed to 'limiting it to the last two centuries on the basis of extant geological standards' (Smith and Zeder 2013).
  • The coeval proposal provides a solution to the challenge of satisfying formal geological standards needed to establish the Anthropocene as a new epoch (Smith and Zeder 2013).
  • The transitions between previous geologic time intervals (e.g. P-T extinction event, lasted 61±48 thousand years (Burgess et al 2014)) makes the 12,000 years between the onset of the Anthropocene and Holocene seem a 'ridiculous range of time', thus it is better to see them as one combined epoch (Certini and Scalenghe 2015).

Well, one might argue, why bother changing the name of the epoch we are in from the 'Holocene' to the 'Anthropocene'? Smith and Zeder (2013) propose that the ICS may consider using 'Holocene' in scientific contexts, and the 'Anthropocene' in media and popular discourse. Essentially this would mean keeping the Anthropocene as an informal term for the time we live in, continuing its use to encourage action and focus attention on human impact on the planet. Certini and Scalenghe (2015) also argue the term 'Anthropocene' is more 'durable' than the Holocene. "Durability?" you ask? Let me explain what they mean. Their argument is that a new glacial inception (ice age) would end the Holocene (as the basis of the Holocene is that it is an interglacial and marks the end of the last ice age), but that the same ice age would not stop human impact on Earth (as the basis of the Anthropocene is the focus of humanity's effects on the planet, and not it being an interglacial) (Certini and Scalenghe 2015). I'm not entirely convinced by this argument or the example of an ice age; a new ice age will only occur once atmospheric CO2 levels are low enough (~280ppmv) and albedo high enough to allow ice growth and expansion (see an earlier post of mine). Surely allowing this to occur would signify the end of human alteration of Earth Systems through fossil fuel combustion, deforestation etc? UNLESS humanity makes a deliberate attempt to modify Earth Systems in a way which permits a glacial inception (something I personally can't see happening any time soon...).

Should the focus of the last 11,700 years, and (hopefully) many millennia to follow be entirely on humans? Are we bold enough to conclude that this epoch in Earth History will always be characterised by human impact on Earth Systems, even far into the distant future? Not everyone agrees with the idea that the Anthropocene and Holocene should be coeval. Clive Hamilton (2014) heavily criticises Smith and Zeder's (2013) approach of focusing on ecosystems and the biosphere, as opposed to the Earth in totality in a guest blogpost on the Anthropocene Review Blog. Hamilton (2014) is openly frustrated by Smith and Zeder's paper, as according to him, they have entirely misunderstood the concept of the Anthropocene. He argues the Anthropocene must focus on when humans first started altering the Earth as a whole, and not just ecosystems. To summarise his post, he basically tells ecologists to "butt out" (his words, not mine!) in trying to redefine the Anthropocene. Ouch. 

My thoughts on the matter

I can empathise with wanting to make the Anthropocene and Holocene coeval purely for the simplicity and ease it would have over debating new onsets which must obey strict geologic standards. However, the reasoning behind this combination of epochs should not be for ease or simplicity, it should be because the evidence is overwhelming, which in this instance, I think it is not. There are many other proposals for the onset of the Anthropocene which have far more convincing and stand-out examples of humans altering Earth Systems, such as the Trinity atomic detonation, producing global radioactive fallout as well as representing a momentous change in humanity's ability to both create and destroy at the same time with a new nuclear age (Zalasiewicz et al 2015). Furthermore, is there any point in changing the Geologic Time Scale if we are just to continue using the Anthropocene informally and the Holocene formally? The only difference is that we would be discussing the same length of geologic time, and not using the Anthropocene for interpreting the last few centuries (or decades, depending on your view).

Also, with reference to NCT (Smith and Zeder 2013), should the example of humans first altering ecosystems with plant and animal domestication not be something more paramount? For example, the Haber-Bosch process of the early 20th century provides a much more significant instance of humans artificially producing nitrogen, completely modifying the nitrogen cycle even now in our present day. Or, the instance of when human creation and use of chlorofluorocarbons (CFCs) led to a large hole developing in the ozone-layer above Antarctica? There are many other, perhaps more convincing examples of humanity altering ecosystems as well as the Earth System as a whole, and not just the terrestrial biosphere. I do, however, agree with Certini and Scalenghe (2015) that ending the Holocene and starting the Anthropocene after a mere ~12,000 years seems like too short an amount of time to end an epoch and begin another. Although, this is not to say that the best way over that hurdle is to merge two epochs with separate identities and characteristics into one with confusing formal and informal terminology. I'm still of the opinion that if the Anthropocene is to become formally defined, it should not simply replace the Holocene epoch.

5 comments:

  1. Another well written and thought provoking blog Katy. I agree with your conclusion; I cannot see how we can just swap one for another.I personally think that the whole subject will be rewritten and re-assessed many times in the next 100 years and may never be finalised to every academic's satisfaction.

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    1. Thanks for the comment, Anon. Yes I definitely think the Anthropocene is unique in that it is still very much in the development phase, so it is inevitable that many changes will be made in the coming decades and centuries! Who knows what the final outcome will be? Hopefully we will gain some insight when the AWG meet in 2016 to decide whether the Anthropocene epoch should become part of the Geologic Time Scale or not!

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  2. I kind of feel that the Anthropocene justifies the existence of researchers, providing a contemporary justification of research. It would be interesting to see if epoch changes would have been made if we lived before the Holocene. I enjoyed reading this!

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    1. I've never thought of it that way, but that is definitely something to consider! And I am fairly certain many changes would've been made had that been the case with today's knowledge, technology and scientific research! Thanks :)

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  3. They could combine the two names to keep everyone happy; Anthropoholocene or Holoanthropocene (Ah! or Ha! in short) Didn't someone say "A rose by any other name would smell as sweet"????

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